Systems thinking • first principles • gap analysis
Systems Thinking for Complex Problems
I help analyze complex systems from first principles to uncover hidden assumptions, structural gaps, and leverage points for better decisions.
What I do
- Model systems and arguments from first principles
- Identify contradictions, drift, and incentive failures
- Turn messy problem spaces into clear decision frameworks
- Deliver concise, actionable outputs (not fluff)
Who this is for
- Founders and operators dealing with complexity and uncertainty
- Researchers and writers building frameworks or long-form work
- Teams evaluating AI systems, metrics, or decision processes
- Organizations needing a structural “second brain” to stress-test assumptions
Coherence
Internal structure
Does the model hold together without contradiction? Are the definitions stable and the logic sound?
Correspondence
Reality fit
Does it match observed behavior and outcomes? Where does lived reality expose failure modes?
Calibration
Correction loop
What forces continuous correction? How do we prevent metric gaming, drift, and false certainty?